Definition
In a generalized linear model (GLM; Nelder-Wedderburn 1972) the link function g connects the mean of the response to the linear predictor, g(μi)=ηi=xi′β, so that the systematic part of the model is linear on the transformed (link) scale while the response stays in its natural range. For binary data μi=Pr(yi=1)=θi∈(0,1) and the link maps the probability onto the whole real line; the choice of g determines the shape of the response curve and, unlike the linear-predictor coefficients, is itself a modeling assumption that can be tested.
Key Ideas
- Standard binary links. The logit g(θ)=log{θ/(1−θ)} (canonical, symmetric), the probit g(θ)=Φ−1(θ) (Gaussian-latent, symmetric), and the complementary log-log g(θ)=log{−log(1−θ)} (asymmetric, extreme-value). Logit and probit are close over the central range but differ in the tails; cloglog is skewed.
- The link is an assumption, not a given. A misspecified link biases fitted probabilities and covariate effects; because it is tentative "as for all models," it warrants a check (Aranda-Ordaz 1981).
- Parametric / flexible link families. Embed the candidate links in a one-parameter family and estimate the extra parameter. The Aranda-Ordaz symmetric family nests logit (λ→0) and a linear scale; its asymmetric family nests logit (λ=1) and complementary log-log (λ=0). Prentice (1976) gives a two-parameter generalization for dose-response curves.
- Heavy-tailed links. Robit regression (Liu 2006) uses a Student-t CDF link: ν→∞ recovers probit and ν≈7 approximates logit, while a small ν bounds the influence of outliers — a flexible-link idea aimed at robustness rather than skewness.
- Link selection and testing. Profile likelihood over the family's shape parameter yields an MLE and an acceptable-fit interval; score (Lagrange-multiplier) tests detect departures from a baseline link (e.g., from logit toward probit or cloglog) without refitting the full extended model.
How It Works
- Choose a baseline link (often logit) and embed it in a parametric family gλ with gλ0= baseline.
- For a grid of λ, fit β by maximum likelihood and record the maximized log-likelihood ℓ(λ).
- Read off λ^=argmaxλℓ(λ) and an interval of λ giving acceptable fit; a baseline value outside the interval is evidence against that link.
- Alternatively, compute a score test at λ0 to detect symmetric or asymmetric departures cheaply.
- Report covariate effects on the selected scale, noting that their interpretation shifts with λ.
Why It Matters
- Model adequacy. The link is one of the few GLM choices with no default that is always right; flexible families turn "which link?" into an estimable, testable question rather than a convention.
- Discriminating logit vs. probit vs. cloglog. Embedding families can separate links that fit almost identically in the middle of the range but diverge in the tails — where extreme-probability predictions are most consequential.
- A unifying view. Robit, Aranda-Ordaz, and Prentice generalizations are the same instinct — a shape parameter that indexes a family of links — applied for robustness, symmetry, and dose-response flexibility respectively.
Open Questions
- Weak identification of the shape parameter. When responses are not near 0 or 1, the link parameter λ (or robit ν) is poorly identified and the profile likelihood is flat.
- Interpretability. Coefficients change meaning as the estimated scale changes, complicating communication of effect sizes.
- Bayesian link selection. Placing a prior on the link-family parameter and averaging over it is natural but sensitive to the prior, echoing the Bayesian model averaging caveats.
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