Merton (1973) — Theory of Rational Option Pricing

option-pricingrational-restrictionsblack-scholescontinuous-timeamerican-optionput-call-paritybarrier-optionstochastic-interest-rateswarrant

Summary

Merton (1973) is a two-part paper published in the inaugural issue of the Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science alongside Merton's own Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM). Part I derives model-free rational restrictions on option and warrant prices using only the preference assumption that investors prefer more wealth to less: lower bounds, early-exercise conditions, convexity in strike, monotonicity in riskiness, and put-call parity. Part II provides an alternative derivation of the Black-Scholes formula under strictly weaker assumptions — stochastic interest rates are explicitly accommodated, CAPM is not invoked — and extends the framework to dividends, the American perpetual put, down-and-out barrier options, and callable warrants.

Key Claims

Concepts Introduced or Extended

Entities Mentioned

Quotes

"In the derivation of the Black-Scholes formula, it was assumed implicitly that the option buyer and seller can trade in shares continuously. But, in fact, to derive the formula it is only necessary that the option buyer or seller be able to hedge."

"Theorem 8 states that the rational warrant price is a nondecreasing function of the riskiness of the stock... put another way, two warrants identically specified in every way except that one is written on a 'riskier' stock will be priced such that the warrant on the riskier stock is at least as valuable."

My Take

The lasting contribution of Part I is a complete, model-free restriction system: any option pricing model must satisfy Theorems 1–13, and violations are arbitrage opportunities. This foundation is logically prior to Black-Scholes and remains its cleanest statement. Part II's key insight is that the B-S derivation requires neither CAPM nor constant interest rates — only no-sure-thing-profits among correlated securities and Itô's lemma — making the formula more robust than the original paper implied. The extensions (barrier options, callable warrants, American put perpetual) are methodologically dense but historically first: Section 9 contains the first closed-form barrier option in the literature, predating practitioners' awareness by roughly a decade.