Summary
Develops a general discrete-time asset pricing framework based on a positive stochastic discount factor Yt common to all securities, and applies it to derive the Black-Scholes option pricing formula without requiring continuous trading or risk neutrality. The key result is that bivariate lognormality of the stock return and the pricing kernel is sufficient for Black-Scholes in discrete time under risk aversion. Published in The Bell Journal of Economics 7(2): 407–425.
Key Claims
- General valuation (Theorem 1): Under the single-price law of markets and nonsatiation, there exists a positive random variable Yt — the same for all securities — such that P0=∑t[E(Xt)/RFt+Cov(Xt,Yt)/RFt]. Securities paying more in low-Yt states command a premium; Yt is the stochastic discount factor. Yt is unique only when markets are complete (number of securities = number of states).
- CPRA pricing kernel (Theorem 4): Under constant proportional risk aversion (CPRA) with coefficient b and weak aggregation, Yt=RMt−b where RMt is the gross market return. Corollaries: (a) the market portfolio follows a random walk if per capita consumption follows a random walk (or b=1); (b) the term structure is unbiased under the same conditions.
- Log-Capital Asset Pricing Model (Log-CAPM): For securities jointly lognormal with the market: lnE(ri)=lnrF+b⋅Cov(lnri,lnrM). When market returns are lognormal, b can be estimated: b=[E(lnrM)−lnrF]/Var(lnrM).
- Discrete-time Black-Scholes (Theorem 5): If St and Yt are jointly lognormal and investors agree on Var(lnR), then the Black-Scholes formula holds exactly in discrete time with risk-averse investors and no continuous hedging. Bivariate lognormality replaces the continuous-trading assumption.
- Stein–Rubinstein lemma: For bivariate normal (x,y) and any differentiable g: Cov(x,g(y))=E[g′(y)]Cov(x,y). Used in the option pricing proof. First derived in Rubinstein's 1971 PhD dissertation; independently noted by Stein (1973).
Concepts Introduced or Extended
Entities Mentioned
Quotes
"To my surprise, the resulting option pricing formula is identical to the Black-Scholes (1973) formula even though only costless discrete-time trading opportunities are available so that investors cannot create a perfect hedge, investors are risk averse, and must simultaneously choose among a large number of securities."
My Take
The central contribution is robustness of Black-Scholes: continuous hedging is not the essential ingredient — bivariate lognormality of the stock and pricing kernel is. The CPRA pricing kernel result (Yt=RMt−b) is the discrete-time antecedent of Hansen-Jagannathan bounds and modern Stochastic Discount Factor (SDF) asset pricing. The Stein–Rubinstein lemma became a workhorse of finance theory — it underlies Merton's Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM), beta representations for non-normal returns, and the Gaussian kernel trick in option pricing proofs — though it is often attributed to Stein (1973) alone. For this wiki the paper's primary value is as foundational background for Contingent Claim Model Error (Jacquier-Jarrow 2000) and the option pricing strand more broadly.