Overview
Senior economist in the Office of Research, Evaluation and Statistics at the Social Security Administration (SSA). Works on SSA disability program mechanics, program interactions, benefit take-up, and work incentives among beneficiaries. A leading inside-SSA researcher on DI and SSI program design.
Key Contributions / Features
- DI lock empirics (Coe and Rupp 2013): Co-author of the first systematic empirical test of the DI lock hypothesis; contributed program expertise on DI-SSI interaction mechanics (SGA cliff dampening, concurrent benefit formulas, DI-to-SSI transitions). See Employment Lock.
- DI-SSI program interactions: Extensive research on the interaction between DI and SSI benefit formulas, including the conditions under which DI beneficiaries qualify for SSI top-ups and the resulting dampening of the SGA cliff work disincentive.
- Rupp and Riley (2012) — Social Security Bulletin 72(3): 19–35; first individual-level linkage of all four U.S. disability safety-net programs (DI, SSI, Medicare, Medicaid); co-authored with Gerald F. Riley (CMS); N=68,798 first-ever 2000 entrants, 84-month panel; documented that SSI serves as the primary Medicaid bridge during the 29-month combined DI/Medicare waiting period and that coverage becomes virtually complete for DI-involved beneficiaries once Medicare kicks in. See DI Medicare Waiting Period.
- Disability beneficiary longitudinal transitions: Work documenting exit rates from DI (
1% per year) and SSI (4% per year) and the insurance patterns of disability program entrants.
- Life-cycle framework for SSI children (Davies, Rupp, and Wittenburg 2009): Co-authored institutional and longitudinal analysis of childhood SSI awardees; documented that 1974–1982 childhood awardees had a mean SSI duration of ~27 years; linked NSCF family profile data to SSA administrative earnings records.
- SSA data infrastructure primer (Rupp and Davies ~2000): Co-authored reference document describing SSA's five core administrative databases (MBR, SSR, NDDS, MEF, NUMIDENT) and the rationale for SIPP-SSA exact matching; illustrated via Project NetWork evaluation (146,861 cases) and SSI eligibility simulation.
- Rupp and Scott (1998) duration analysis: Estimated determinants of SSI spell duration and showed excess income as the primary reason for first exits among childhood awardees (~half of all exits).
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