Maxwell Kellogg

Overview

Maxwell Kellogg is an economist and co-author of Deshpande, Kellogg, Mogstad, and Tseng (2025), which develops a bounds-based decomposition of Social Security DI enrollment across the historical rise (1988–2010) and post-peak decline (2010–2019). His research interests include disability insurance, labor markets, and causal program evaluation.

Key Contributions

• Deshpande, Kellogg, Mogstad, and Tseng (2025) — "Explaining the Historical Rise and Recent Decline in Social Security Disability Insurance Enrollment." Develops interaction-aware bounds decomposition; finds applications explain ~71% of the 2010–2019 enrollment decline (composition-adjusted), with labor demand recovery (shift-share IV: −0.368 pp application rate per 1 pp employment-to-population rise) explaining ~73% of the application decline.
• Friedman, Kellogg, Lurie, and Mogstad (2018) — "Explaining Geographic Differences in Young Disability Insurance Rates." Co-author of the extended geographic DI analysis; separates sorting from causal place effects using mover signal correlations; shows DI take-up and income mobility are null correlated across CZs despite sharing many local predictors. See Geographic Variation in Disability Insurance.

Related

• Manasi Deshpande
• Magne Mogstad
• Kuan-Ju Tseng
• John N. Friedman
• Ithai Lurie
• DI Growth Decomposition
• Geographic Variation in Disability Insurance
• Disability Insurance Program

Sources

• Deshpande Kellogg Mogstad and Tseng 2025 — Explaining the Historical Rise and Recent Decline in Social Security Disability Insurance Enrollment
• Friedman et al 2018 — Explaining Geographic Differences in Young Disability Insurance Rates