Timothy Moore

Overview

Timothy Moore is a professor of economics at the University of Melbourne. His research focuses on disability insurance, labor market outcomes, and the health effects of social insurance programs.

Key Contributions

• DI Income and Earnings (Gelber, Moore, and Strand 2016): Companion RKD paper using the upper bend point in the PIA formula to isolate the income effect of DI payments on earnings. $1 DI → −$0.20 earnings; income effect nearly equals total crowdout from MMS (2013) and French/Song (2014), implying substitution effects from SGA are small. Working paper, June 2016.
• DI Income Saves Lives (Gelber, Moore, and Strand 2017): RKD study using the lower bend point showing $1,000/year in DI income reduces annual mortality by 0.26 pp (elasticity −0.56); cost per life-year ~$59,000. Established mortality reduction as a previously uncounted DI welfare benefit.
• Employment Effects of Terminating Benefits (Moore 2015): Exploited the 1997 DA&A termination as a natural experiment. Peak employment response ~22pp above SGA; inverted-U by DI duration (peak at ~2.7 years, 24.6pp); supports CDRs targeted at the 2–3 year window. Journal of Public Economics 124 (2015): 30–43.

Related

• Alexander Gelber
• Alexander Strand
• DI Beneficiary Mortality
• Causal Effects of DI Receipt
• Disability Insurance Program
• Substantial Gainful Activity
• Regression Kink Design

Sources

• Gelber Moore and Strand 2016 — The Effect of Disability Insurance Payments on Beneficiaries Earnings
• Gelber Moore and Strand 2017 — Disability Insurance Income Saves Lives
• Moore 2015 — The Employment Effects of Terminating Disability Benefits